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Climate, Weather & Models January 8, 2010

Posted by visceralrebellion in Uncategorized.
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Even the most casual observer can’t help but notice the hypocricy of the climate doomsayers. Heat waves must be a result of global warming, but the coldest winter in 30+ years has nothing to do with climate. It’s just a weather event, you see.

For example:

Australian heatwave sign of climate change

SYDNEY (Reuters) – A heatwave scorching southern Australia, causing transport chaos by buckling rail lines and leaving more than 140,000 homes without power, is a sign of climate change, the government said on Thursday.

[snip]

Climate Change Minister Penny Wong said the heatwave, which started on Wednesday, was the sort of weather scientists had been warning about.

“Eleven of the hottest years in history have been in the last 12, and we also note, particularly in the southern part of Australia, we’re seeing less rainfall,” Wong told reporters.

“All of this is consistent with climate change, and all of this is consistent with what scientists told us would happen.”

Disregard the well-documented fraud masquerading as temperature data coming out of Down Under. Let’s play along.

Now consider the frigid conditions that have sent the eastern US into teeth-chattering fits.

Extreme Weather: Why Has Mother Nature Gone Bonkers?

[snip]

There are few precedents for the global sweep of extreme cold and ice that has killed dozens in India, paralyzed life in Beijing and threatened the Florida orange crop. Chicagoans are taking shelter from a potentially deadly freeze, Paris is enduring sunny Siberian cold and Poland has counted at least 13 deaths in record low temperatures of about 13 degrees below zero. A string of deadly avalanches in northern Italy’s Alps led to seven deaths.

[snip]

Guo Hu, the head of the Beijing Meteorological Bureau, linked these conditions to unusual atmospheric patterns caused by global warming. “In the context of global warming, extreme atmospheric flows are causing extreme climate incidents to appear more frequently, such as the summer’s rainstorms and last year’s ice storm disaster in southern China,” he told Beijing News.

Deke Arndt, chief of the climate monitoring branch at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center was more cautious, arguing that’s it’s too soon to draw any conclusions about global warming — or global cooling — from the rash of frigid weather.

“This is essentially a series of weather events happening simultaneously well below the climate scale,” he argued. “This is an entirely different event in terms of the time scales we talk about for global warming.”

[snip]

Cold weather doesn’t necessarily mean anything when considered against long-term global trends — even sustained, worldwide cold weather and record-setting snowfalls. But it must just put a chill on the panic and hype surrounding global warming.

Overall, Arndt believes the cold weather, while potentially dangerous and hardly insignificant, isn’t enough to impact the larger warming trend. “It would take much more than this to significantly impact the global trends that we’ve been seeing for a few decades,” he said.

So a heat wave in Australia is proof of global warming, but a deep freeze in Europe and the US isn’t a refutation of global warming.

When is a weather event a sign of the climate? When the global warmists want it to be. When is a weather event unrelated to climate? When the global warmists want it to be. Nothing to do with science. It’s all politics. It’s religion.

Expecting intelligent people to fall for that nonsense is ludicrous, yet they continue to push it. Why?

Beyond the glaring tautology lies the disgraced climate models upon which this religious crusade is based. The code released in the Climategate .zip file irrefutably reveals the fraud perpetrated by the fifty or so scientist-priests who have created and promoted the notion that CO2, the gas exhaled by every living creature and used for cellular respiration by every chlorophyll-bearing lifeform, is causing the end of the world.

A model is little more than a tool that attempts to predict future events. In this case, the models are supposed to contain all–or enough of–the variables to predict climate. That the models did not predict the leveling off of temperatures after 1998 or the downward trend from 2006 to today, is absolute proof that the models aren’t worth the electrons used to run them.

The models are all the warmists have so like Crusader knights they’re defending the castle to the very end. Without the public’s belief in the models, all the CRUs of the world have is their hysterical screeds–hardly enough to force average people to drastically reduce their standards of living. Make no mistake: that is the warmists’ end goal.

Sorry, but I’m neither ignorant nor hysterical enough to fall for that.

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