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Liars-for-Hire March 13, 2010

Posted by visceralrebellion in Science Hoax of the Century.
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Orwell nailed it: “Rules of the Game” and “UK Communications Strategy on Climate Change”

I apologize in advance for the large chunks of quotes in this post, but context is vital and I will not be guilty of selective analysis.

I downloaded the FOIA2009.zip file when Climategate first broke and I’ve found plenty of humorous reading in the emails. The computer code is a window into shoddy code and shoddy science that just hacks me off.

But the “Documents” folder hasn’t received nearly the attention it deserves, particularly a PDF file titled “RulesOfTheGame.pdf” (RotG). This gem was produced by a UK company hired by the UK government. The point, according to the document, is below.

RotG p2 Why were the principles created?

The game is communicating climate change; the rules will help us win it.

These principles were created as part of the UK Climate Change Communications Strategy, an evidence-based strategy aiming to change public attitudes towards climate change in the UK. This is a ‘short version’ of a far longer document of evidence that can be found at http://www.defra.gov.uk.

There is plenty of evidence relating to attitudes towards and behaviour on climate change, general environmental behaviour change and the whole issue of sustainable development communication. As we reviewed the research for these principles, one ‘überprinciple’ emerged:

“Changing attitudes towards climate change is not like selling a particular brand of soap – it’s like convincing someone to use soap in the first place.”

[SNIP]

However, these principles are a first step to using sophisticated behaviour change modelling and comprehensive evidence from around the world to change attitudes towards climate change. We need to think radically, and the Rules of the Game are a sign that future campaigns will not be ‘business as usual’. This is a truly exciting moment.

So the UK government is attempting to use marketing and psychology to force the population to accede to the government’s plans on “climate change.”

“UK Communications Strategy on Climate Change,” (Strategy) referenced in RotG, was not available at the link provided but I downloaded a copy from compassnet.org. That entire page has been removed from compassnet.org now but is still in Google’s cache if you’d like to see it.

Everyone should read both of these documents to get a glimpse into how Western governments are colluding with the worst elements of academia and business to force Western civilization into the “sustainable development/climate mitigation solutions” that few would independently choose to implement for themselves.

If RotG is nauseating, Strategy is overwhelmingly Orwellian. In its own words:

In late 2004, FUTERRA was commissioned by the Climate Change Communications Working Group to draw up a strategy to use communications as a lever in changing attitudes towards climate change in the UK.

Strategy p8

Sound innocent enough, doesn’t it? Until you read a bit further.

What will this strategy deliver?

1 The primary benefit of the attitude change campaign will be in generating a sense of urgency on climate change, and ‘hooks’ for gaining acceptance of policy changes.

Strategy pp 8-9

So ordinary people living in the real world with real weather are looking about and not seeing “catastrophic climate change,” and that’s a problem for the UK government. Hence the government needs a “hook,” a tool to force people to ignore their own experience with the climate and the weather in favor of the government’s approved attitude.

Continuing on pages 8 and 9:

2 Affecting attitudes on climate change will also help minimise the potential problems or negative reactions to the social or economic elements of policy development (e.g. energy price rises).

The ultimate goal: reduce or eliminate people’s aversion to higher taxation and reduced individual freedom.

They go into this further on pages 11-12. The most interesting are below.

Current Attitudes Desired Attitudes
8 A general intolerance for policy changes (e.g. fuel tax) that carry a short term inconvenience but long term benefit The public (and target audiences) accept, and perhaps even demand, policy changes if they are clearly linked to climate change
9 Climate change is a ‘negative’ and Armageddon issue Individuals associate actions to mitigate climate change as uplifting and with added, immediate benefits
10 Climate change is a separate ‘environmental’ issue Climate change links are made with health, economy, leisure and security issues

3 By generating excitement around our potential to act on climate change, existing behaviour change programmes (of Carbon Trust and Energy Saving Trust) should find a more receptive audience for their messages.

4 By providing funds and guidance to local/regional communicators, their impact will be improved and a host of new channels and audiences for messages on climate change will be created.

So the government is hiring people to spew the line. Any bets on whether the “local communicators’” payments are public information?

5 This process has already produced results. The Rules of the Game document is already being used within UK government, and indeed internationally, to improve the impacts of climate change communications.

The big question: IS ANY US GOVERNMENT AGENCY USING THIS ABOMINATION????

Okay, so we have a program intended to deceive the British public into accepting massive tax increases and huge revocations of personal freedoms in the name of “saving the planet,” using deception on a massive scale.

And AGW proponents wonder why thoughtful people are fleeing AGW like the plague.

Open Letter to Authors of NAS Sec 63’s List Serve Thread March 9, 2010

Posted by visceralrebellion in Science Hoax of the Century.
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The list serv contents were made public here. The DC Times’ account is at this page.

My response to the authors of the emails is below.

Your entries to the list serve were entertaining reading, but somewhat disturbing. You’ve yet to figure out why, according to Paul Falkowski, you “are facing an increasingly ill informed, hostile public. . ..” So in a spirit of generosity allow me to explain why ordinary people neither believe nor trust you.

The term “climate change” is a rhetorical attempt to create panic out of the ordinary. Educated people understand that climate changes. There’s nothing scary or panic-inducing about climate change. Yet the switch from “global warming,” the term used throughout the 90s and early 2000s was indicative to us that your supposedly “settled” science was anything but.

First, you must divest yourselves of the fallacy that ordinary people aren’t smart enough to follow the conversations regarding “climate change.” We’ve had science courses and labs in high school and college. Some of us took lots of science, others just enough to get by, but we ALL were taught that science uses factual, reproducible data to support or disprove hypotheses. Many of us received zeros on our first lab reports due to incomplete data representation or skipping methodology explanations, with stern notes on the fundamental importance of communicating data and providing detail sufficient to allow others to precisely replicate our work.

So imagine our surprise when the professional scientists, who we expect to be held to higher standards than we were in our Chemistry 202 lab, are revealed to not only fail to perform research by the most basic university standards, but then attempt to use their incomplete methods and/or data to manipulate us politically.

That you and your fellow scientists have political inclinations is only natural. That you advance your political goals and agendas with “science” is simply intolerable. If you desire totalitarianism just come out and say it. But STOP attempting to justify and implement totalitarianism with shoddy science.

The UEA emails—which I think were leaked, not stolen, based upon the large time span and depth of knowledge required to compile such a file—revealed that the leaders of the AGW movement have no real data to either support or refute their hypotheses.

For example, the most interesting factor in the “hide the decline” email is that the tree ring “proxies” fail miserably from 1960 onward to display any relationship to temperature, hence the removal of the proxies from the graphs and datasets for post-1960. The only reasonable, logical and SCIENTIFIC questions are:

Why do tree rings diverge from instrumental data post-1960?

Has anyone demonstrated a confirmed, repeatable correlation between tree rings and temperature?

Could it be that tree rings have no relationship whatsoever to temperature at any given time?

Given that no one has confirmed that tree rings have a predictable relationship to temperature, why are tree rings used as proxies at all?

Has anyone on this list serve thread bothered to ask those questions, privately or publically? I’ve yet to see any public debate on the topic. If not, WHY NOT???? This is basic science.

Special attention is warranted for Paul Falkowski’s rant below:

One is the integrity of science, writ large. That is threatened by unbridled, well funded lobbyists for (in this case) the coal, oil and gas industries – that seek to make sure that all science about climate change is “uncertain” – and more recently “biased” in the reports from the IPCC. I personally find such threats to the scientific process we all adhere to more than unsettling. If the public looses faith in scientists, we can see the inevitable consequences. H1N1 vaccines were taken a plot to kill our children. Regardless of the evidence, cell phones cause brain cancer. The political dialogue is course – but scientists are being treated like political pawns – and it is not acceptable.

Mr. Falkowski, have you considered that scientists—ALL of them—have contributed to this phenomenon? How many times have we, the public, watched scientists make pronouncements of mortal danger where there are none or vice versa? How many times have other scientists failed to refute those claims? See Paul Ehrlich for multiple examples of wild predictions proved wrong. If you’re looking for someone to blame for this, you need look no farther than your mirror.

Furthermore, when you cloak your political objectives in scientific language you must expect to be used as “political pawns.”

One result is that fewer and fewer Americans want their children to be scientists. And, at least at my university, fewer and fewer American children are enrolling in science programs at the graduate level.

My daughter is a senior in high school, a very bright girl enamored with science. She intends to major in biochemistry but is already well aware that she’s going to “stick out” because she is also a faithful Roman Catholic. Neither she nor I see any conflict between our religion and science but established scientists insist on creating a conflict. Whether she can tolerate the nonsense from the uncompromising atheists plaguing every science department remains to be seen. When the nonsense grows to a cacophony she reminds herself that the best scientists were also theists to one degree or another. Even Einstein considered his science a glimpse into the mind of God (rough translation.)

In my opinion, the public has lost faith in science because scientists do not speak out to the public and scientists are increasingly viewed as “cooking the books” by the public – i.e., not being honest brokers. The “climategate” issue is one of the most recent aspects of this issue. This has to be stopped – Scientific integrity is something we all worry about – but the issue at hand is not integrity of the IPCC- it is making sure that the public is aware of OUR concerns for all of our futures.

And here is where you fail to understand what you and your associates MUST do to restore confidence in your fields. Unless and/or until you place integrity at the forefront of all scientific endeavor, confidence in your statements and proposed solutions will continue to plummet, eventually joining astrologers and lawyers in the ranking of least trustworthy professions.

Without integrity science is little more than a waste of resources.

George Woodwell wrote, “We are dealing with an opposition that is not going to yield to facts or appeals from people who hold themselves in high regard and think their assertions and data are obvious truths.”

Mr Woodwell, you may hold yourself and your cohorts in “high regard” but we are more interested in observable, repeatable facts than we are your gargantuan self-esteem. We have listened to warnings of impending doom for most of our lives. In the 1980s, the impending doomsday scenarios were the “death of the oceans,” global starvation and mass death due to AIDS. Today we look back on those predictions with a chuckle. AIDS is bad but more people die of malaria. The oceans are just fine, and while episodic starvation occurs it’s always due to political forces, not scientific forces.

In the 1990s, the temperature was going to rise so high, so fast that one could be forgiven for purchasing shorefront property in the Arctic and building a resort in anticipation of the hordes that would be seeking 24-hour sunbathing in more temperate climes. Today we’re looking for better gloves for sale in the southeastern US.

And then there are the health fads that come and go. Oatmeal will cure cholesterol so people run out and choke it down for breakfast thinking they’re extending their lives. Months later, oatmeal makes no difference and the folks who forced themselves to eat it dump the remainder in the trash and wonder why they ever believed the claim.

One of your participants, Paul Ehrlich, has a long and amusing record of making doomsday claims and being proven wrong over and over again. Yet we are supposed to believe a word that comes out of his mouth regarding global warming? Please don’t misunderstand, I support Ehrlich’s right to make outlandish claims in any camera available—the comedy factor alone is worth the air time. That said, you can’t seriously expect us to submit to dramatic reductions in our standard of living and wholesale revocation of our Constitutional rights based on anything that pops out of Ehrlich’s overactive imagination. And your voluntary association with and support for Ehrlich immediately makes you suspect. Have you not paid attention over the years?

Paul Falkowski wrote, “I want the NAS to be a transformational agent in America.”

What he and others fail to comprehend is that we, the “unwashed masses” so disparaged in your emails, aren’t interested in “transforming” America. We like America the way she is and we’re utterly unconvinced that your prescriptions are better than the ills you claim to treat.

But knock yourselves out, fellas. Take out your ads, throw your diminishing weight around. Fortunately we still have the first amendment and you have those rights. Just remember that WE have the same rights and WE make the final decision regarding whether and how we’ll agree to your positions.

But please, introspection would serve you well, and restore dignity and confidence in science–something I really want to see.

The Shivering English January 6, 2010

Posted by visceralrebellion in Science Hoax of the Century.
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The Brits are suddenly realizing why everyone wanted out of the Soviet Union.

GAS SUPPLIES RUNNING OUT AS BRITAIN SHIVERS

The National Grid yesterday issued only its second-ever warning that demand for energy is threatening to outstrip available supplies unless industry quickly slashes its consumption and more gas is rushed in from abroad.

The alert prompted the wholesale cost of gas to rocket by 70 per cent and raised fears that businesses and households could soon be hit by power cuts if the freezing weather persists as forecast for the rest of the month.

Shadow Energy Secretary Greg Clark warned: “For 12 years the Government has had its head in the sand about Britain’s precarious energy security.

“Today’s alert is a taste of what is to come as a result of Labour’s negligence – gas supply shortages and regular power cuts. I have repeatedly warned that Britain lacks the back-up plans that France and Germany have for these situations.” National Grid issued its warning – known as a gas balancing alert – because an unexpected shortfall meant Britain’s demand was at risk.

Gas was flowing out of the UK’s main storage facility at Rough, 18 miles off the Yorkshire coast, at a record rate yesterday as energy needed for homes and businesses came very close to the previous record high.

Analysts said the freeze combined with the post-New Year return to work created a surge which put intense pressure on supplies and added to the need for expensive additional gas to be pumped in from mainland Europe. Experts have estimated that Britain only has enough gas storage for 15 days so in times of high demand we have to rely on imports.

Ian Parrett, of energy analysts Inenco, warned that the country was in danger of being held to ransom over gas prices and blamed a lack of investment in storage plants.

“We’re faced with a shortfall of supply created by a combination of the cold weather and the number of people returning to work and putting the heating back on putting extra demand on the system,” he said. “Some big companies on interruptible gas contracts risk a reduction or cessation of their supply.”

Britain is increasingly reliant on imported gas because North Sea supplies are running out. Official predictions said just over 50 per cent of winter supplies would come from the North Sea with the rest piped from Europe and by ship from the Caribbean and the Far East.

A spokesman for energy market regulator Ofgem said of the National Grid’s alert: “It is a signal to the market to tell it that there is a possibility that gas demand could exceed gas supplies.”

The warning encouraged industry to use less gas and sent an appeal to the supply market to lift quotas. Its impact was a leap in the wholesale cost of gas from 35p to 60p per unit of energy – the therm.

An analyst at energy experts Platts warned: “This is only the first day of the current cold snap. What would be really scary would be if it stayed at 60p for months.”

Jeremy Nicholson, director of the Energy Intensive Users Group, which represents heavy industry, said: “This shows how vulnerable we are in the UK.”

A National Grid spokesman last night said of the imports: “It is all designed to ensure that domestic gas supplies are not affected.”

A spokeswoman for Energy UK which represents the big energy suppliers said: “Consumers shouldn’t be worried about this. The reason energy companies buy in advance is to protect customers from peaks in demand.”

Infected with the illness known as “environmentalism,” they allowed their government to install windmills and decommission working power plants to stop “global warming.”

But the windmills aren’t turning, so the electricity isn’t cranking. While they aren’t yet in the dark, the risk is growing.

With the shortage of heating gas, they’re being instructed by that same government to cut back on energy use now, in the midst of what the British newspapers declare the coldest winter in 30 years.

Lesson: when a population gives government control over the basic necessities of life in exchange for promises to halt the end of the world, the population will eventually suffer and needlessly die for lack of those necessities. Governments are incapable of functioning with anything near competence in any venue, whether energy or food or housing or medical care, and a population that becomes so slothful as to refuse to provide for itself is a population in grave danger.